Air China Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Air China is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 112.4% and 8.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 113.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.7% in 3 years.

Key information

112.4%

Earnings growth rate

113.3%

EPS growth rate

Airlines earnings growth34.3%
Revenue growth rate8.6%
Future return on equity13.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated01 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Air China Limited (HKG:753) Stocks Shoot Up 25% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Nov 24
Air China Limited (HKG:753) Stocks Shoot Up 25% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Air China Limited's (HKG:753) Price

Sep 24
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Air China Limited's (HKG:753) Price

Be Wary Of Air China (HKG:753) And Its Returns On Capital

Jul 24
Be Wary Of Air China (HKG:753) And Its Returns On Capital

An Intrinsic Calculation For Air China Limited (HKG:753) Suggests It's 48% Undervalued

Jun 11
An Intrinsic Calculation For Air China Limited (HKG:753) Suggests It's 48% Undervalued

Here's Why Air China (HKG:753) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

May 25
Here's Why Air China (HKG:753) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Air China's (HKG:753) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations

May 03
Air China's (HKG:753) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations

Revenues Tell The Story For Air China Limited (HKG:753)

Apr 25
Revenues Tell The Story For Air China Limited (HKG:753)

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:753 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026198,3867,84418,35932,3478
12/31/2025183,4184,33417,38827,86310
12/31/2024168,25253219,83532,9429
9/30/2024163,773-47612,55433,085N/A
6/30/2024160,188-37912,22233,530N/A
3/31/2024156,09820615,31238,030N/A
12/31/2023141,100-1,04612,64935,418N/A
9/30/2023116,286-9,7255,49821,209N/A
6/30/202392,628-22,631-9,3396,030N/A
3/31/202365,048-32,646-10,745-2,307N/A
12/31/202252,898-38,619-24,400-16,762N/A
9/30/202259,163-34,424-10,868-2,159N/A
6/30/202260,821-29,291-7,782-1,094N/A
3/31/202272,869-19,334-4966,483N/A
12/31/202174,532-16,6426,81312,888N/A
9/30/202178,507-14,6197,09213,344N/A
6/30/202177,522-11,75411,12816,374N/A
3/31/202166,829-15,812-9198,871N/A
12/31/202069,504-14,409-10,6301,408N/A
9/30/202081,558-10,465-4,7976,452N/A
6/30/2020100,513-6,172-1,01014,903N/A
3/31/2020120,882-1,1199,32723,688N/A
12/31/2019136,1816,40925,23238,340N/A
9/30/2019136,9717,16123,92436,908N/A
6/30/2019137,8457,00726,27134,027N/A
3/31/2019137,7227,43120,51630,117N/A
12/31/2018136,7747,33619,11131,419N/A
9/30/2018132,4615,89914,62432,143N/A
6/30/2018128,2257,382N/A28,977N/A
3/31/2018124,0018,402N/A31,154N/A
12/31/2017121,3637,240N/A26,389N/A
9/30/2017119,0127,866N/A25,577N/A
6/30/2017116,5336,683N/A28,601N/A
3/31/2017115,2575,845N/A26,378N/A
12/31/2016112,6776,814N/A30,724N/A
9/30/2016111,9967,720N/A27,896N/A
6/30/2016111,3026,282N/A30,965N/A
3/31/2016110,0377,528N/A32,885N/A
12/31/2015108,9296,774N/A31,753N/A
9/30/2015108,3096,927N/A30,421N/A
6/30/2015106,8927,283N/A22,467N/A
3/31/2015105,7515,406N/A18,858N/A
12/31/2014104,8883,817N/A16,902N/A
9/30/2014102,8012,428N/A17,174N/A
6/30/2014100,9182,683N/A18,957N/A
3/31/201499,3283,163N/A17,717N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 753 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 753 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 753 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 753's revenue (8.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (7.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 753's revenue (8.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 753's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.7%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 05:13
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Air China Limited is covered by 66 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Patrick XuBarclays
Arnaud BouchetBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Nathan GeeBofA Global Research