Air China Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Air China is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 42.7% and 8.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 51.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.9% in 3 years.

Key information

42.7%

Earnings growth rate

51.6%

EPS growth rate

Airlines earnings growth	11.6%
Revenue growth rate	8.9%
Future return on equity	19.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	17 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

An Intrinsic Calculation For Air China Limited (HKG:753) Suggests It's 32% Undervalued

Aug 11

Is Air China (HKG:753) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Jul 04

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Air China Limited (HKG:753)?

May 29

An Intrinsic Calculation For Air China Limited (HKG:753) Suggests It's 25% Undervalued

May 08

Does Air China (HKG:753) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Jan 12

Air China (HKG:753) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Jun 13

Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their Air China Limited (HKG:753) Revenue and EPS estimates

May 08

Is Air China (HKG:753) A Risky Investment?

Feb 15

Is Air China (HKG:753) Using Debt Sensibly?

Nov 02

Is Air China (HKG:753) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Jul 21

Does Air China (HKG:753) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Apr 07

What Type Of Returns Would Air China's(HKG:753) Shareholders Have Earned If They Purchased Their SharesThree Years Ago?

Mar 16

What Is The Ownership Structure Like For Air China Limited (HKG:753)?

Jan 25

Health Check: How Prudently Does Air China (HKG:753) Use Debt?

Jan 05

What Type Of Returns Would Air China's(HKG:753) Shareholders Have Earned If They Purchased Their SharesThree Years Ago?

Dec 15

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Air China Limited (HKG:753)

Nov 24

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:753 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	201,211	13,195	N/A	27,239	4
12/31/2025	183,657	9,087	19,445	29,639	13
12/31/2024	172,553	4,762	21,962	29,331	12
12/31/2023	141,100	-1,046	12,649	35,418	N/A
9/30/2023	116,286	-9,725	5,498	21,209	N/A
6/30/2023	88,558	-22,635	-5,449	9,920	N/A
3/31/2023	65,048	-32,646	-10,745	-2,307	N/A
12/31/2022	52,898	-38,619	-24,400	-16,762	N/A
9/30/2022	59,163	-34,424	-10,868	-2,159	N/A
6/30/2022	60,821	-29,291	-7,782	-1,094	N/A
3/31/2022	72,869	-19,334	-496	6,483	N/A
12/31/2021	74,532	-16,642	6,813	12,888	N/A
9/30/2021	78,507	-14,619	7,092	13,344	N/A
6/30/2021	77,522	-11,754	11,128	16,374	N/A
3/31/2021	66,829	-15,812	-919	8,871	N/A
12/31/2020	69,504	-14,409	-10,630	1,408	N/A
9/30/2020	81,558	-10,465	-4,797	6,452	N/A
6/30/2020	100,513	-6,172	-1,010	14,903	N/A
3/31/2020	120,882	-1,119	9,327	23,688	N/A
12/31/2019	136,181	6,409	25,232	38,340	N/A
9/30/2019	136,971	7,161	23,924	36,908	N/A
6/30/2019	137,845	7,007	26,271	34,027	N/A
3/31/2019	137,722	7,431	20,516	30,117	N/A
12/31/2018	136,774	7,336	19,111	31,419	N/A
9/30/2018	132,461	5,899	14,624	32,143	N/A
6/30/2018	128,225	7,382	9,992	28,977	N/A
3/31/2018	124,001	8,402	12,577	31,154	N/A
12/31/2017	121,363	7,240	8,746	26,389	N/A
9/30/2017	119,012	7,866	N/A	25,577	N/A
6/30/2017	116,533	6,683	N/A	28,601	N/A
3/31/2017	115,257	5,845	N/A	26,378	N/A
12/31/2016	112,677	6,814	N/A	30,724	N/A
9/30/2016	111,996	7,720	N/A	27,896	N/A
6/30/2016	111,302	6,282	N/A	30,965	N/A
3/31/2016	110,037	7,528	N/A	32,885	N/A
12/31/2015	108,929	6,774	N/A	31,753	N/A
9/30/2015	108,309	6,927	N/A	30,421	N/A
6/30/2015	106,892	7,283	N/A	22,467	N/A
3/31/2015	105,751	5,406	N/A	18,858	N/A
12/31/2014	104,888	3,817	N/A	16,902	N/A
9/30/2014	102,801	2,428	N/A	17,174	N/A
6/30/2014	100,918	2,683	N/A	18,957	N/A
3/31/2014	99,328	3,163	N/A	17,717	N/A
12/31/2013	97,628	3,319	N/A	17,436	N/A
9/30/2013	97,318	4,754	N/A	15,420	N/A
6/30/2013	98,139	4,986	N/A	13,638	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 753 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2%).

Earnings vs Market: 753 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 753 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 753's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (7.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 753's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 753's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.9%).

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Air China Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Air China Limited Provides Unaudited Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2023

Air China Limited Provides Earning Guidance for the Period 1 January 2022 to 31 December 2022

Air China Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2022

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 16%

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 16%

Air China Limited Provides Preliminary Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ending December 31, 2021

Recent updates

Air China Limited to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: CN¥0.064 loss per share (vs CN¥2.81 loss in FY 2022)

Air China Limited Announces Board Changes

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Air China Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 29, 2024

Air China Limited (HKG:753) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Air China Limited Announces Change of Members of Board Committees

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.25 (vs CN¥0.64 loss in 3Q 2022)

Is Air China (HKG:753) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Air China Limited to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 27, 2023

Should You Investigate Air China Limited (HKG:753) At HK$5.81?

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

An Intrinsic Calculation For Air China Limited (HKG:753) Suggests It's 32% Undervalued

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Air China Limited Provides Unaudited Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2023

Is Air China (HKG:753) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Air China Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 31, 2023

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Air China Limited (HKG:753)?

An Intrinsic Calculation For Air China Limited (HKG:753) Suggests It's 25% Undervalued

First quarter 2023 earnings released: CN¥0.19 loss per share (vs CN¥0.65 loss in 1Q 2022)

Air China Limited Elects Xiao Jian as A Shareholder Representative Supervisor

Air China Limited Provides Earning Guidance for the Period 1 January 2022 to 31 December 2022

Air China Limited announced that it has received CNY 14.999999994 billion in funding from a group of investors

Air China Limited Announces Cessation of He Chaofan as Chairman of the Supervisory Committee

Does Air China (HKG:753) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Third quarter 2022 earnings released

Air China Limited to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Oct 28, 2022

Air China Limited Announces Board Changes

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: CN¥0.72 loss per share (vs CN¥0.042 loss in 2Q 2021)

Air China Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 30, 2022

Air China Limited announced that it expects to receive CNY 15 billion in funding from China National Aviation Holding Company

Air China Limited announced that it expects to receive CNY 15 billion in funding from China National Aviation Holding Company

Air China Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2022

Air China (HKG:753) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 16%

Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their Air China Limited (HKG:753) Revenue and EPS estimates

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 16%

First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Air China Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 25, 2022

Air China Limited to Report Q1, 2022 Results on Apr 28, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Air China Limited Announces Boards Changes

Is Air China (HKG:753) A Risky Investment?

Air China Limited Provides Preliminary Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ending December 31, 2021

Is Air China (HKG:753) Using Debt Sensibly?

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: CN¥0.26 loss per share (vs CN¥0.05 loss in 3Q 2020)

Company Secretary Feng Zhou has left the company

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: CN¥0.042 loss per share (vs CN¥0.34 loss in 2Q 2020)

Consensus EPS estimates fall to -CN¥0.29

Consensus forecasts updated

Is Air China (HKG:753) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

First quarter 2021 earnings released

Does Air China (HKG:753) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Full year 2020 earnings released: CN¥1.05 loss per share (vs CN¥0.47 profit in FY 2019)

Consensus forecasts updated

What Type Of Returns Would Air China's(HKG:753) Shareholders Have Earned If They Purchased Their SharesThree Years Ago?

Air China Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 31, 2021

New 90-day high: HK$6.74

Air China Limited Announces the Resignation of Wang Xiaokang as Independent Non-Executive Director and Member of the Nomination and Remuneration Committee of the Board

Independent Non-Executive Director has left the company

What Is The Ownership Structure Like For Air China Limited (HKG:753)?