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Subdued Growth No Barrier To China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd.'s (HKG:1719) Price
China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd.'s (HKG:1719) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 50.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 12x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at China Infrastructure & Logistics Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for China Infrastructure & Logistics Group
Is There Enough Growth For China Infrastructure & Logistics Group?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as China Infrastructure & Logistics Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 34%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 69% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 21% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that China Infrastructure & Logistics Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From China Infrastructure & Logistics Group's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of China Infrastructure & Logistics Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with China Infrastructure & Logistics Group (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than China Infrastructure & Logistics Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1719
China Infrastructure & Logistics Group
An investment holding company, develops, operates, and manages container and other ports in the People’s Republic of China.
Slight risk with mediocre balance sheet.
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