Stock Analysis

J&T Global Express Limited's (HKG:1519) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 42% Slump

SEHK:1519
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the J&T Global Express Limited (HKG:1519) share price has dived 42% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Logistics industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.3x, you may still consider J&T Global Express as a stock probably not worth researching with its 0.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for J&T Global Express

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1519 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 27th 2024

How Has J&T Global Express Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, J&T Global Express has been doing relatively well. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on J&T Global Express will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is J&T Global Express' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as J&T Global Express' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 22%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% per annum as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 11% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that J&T Global Express' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

There's still some elevation in J&T Global Express' P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that J&T Global Express maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Logistics industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for J&T Global Express that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether J&T Global Express is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.