Stock Analysis

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (HKG:1199)?

SEHK:1199
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While COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (HKG:1199) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the SEHK over the last few months. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine COSCO SHIPPING Ports’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Ports

What is COSCO SHIPPING Ports worth?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that COSCO SHIPPING Ports’s ratio of 7.62x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 5.48x, which means if you buy COSCO SHIPPING Ports today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe COSCO SHIPPING Ports should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. In addition to this, it seems like COSCO SHIPPING Ports’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s trading around the price multiples of other industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of COSCO SHIPPING Ports look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1199 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 19th 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 12% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for COSCO SHIPPING Ports. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 1199’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 1199? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 1199, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 1199, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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