Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Tongda Group Holdings (HKG:698) Paint A Concerning Picture

SEHK:698
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Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. Having said that, after a brief look, Tongda Group Holdings (HKG:698) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Tongda Group Holdings is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.012 = HK$106m ÷ (HK$14b - HK$4.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

So, Tongda Group Holdings has an ROCE of 1.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Electronic industry average of 7.7%.

View our latest analysis for Tongda Group Holdings

roce
SEHK:698 Return on Capital Employed December 15th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Tongda Group Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Tongda Group Holdings here for free.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Tongda Group Holdings Tell Us?

There is reason to be cautious about Tongda Group Holdings, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 17% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Tongda Group Holdings to turn into a multi-bagger.

What We Can Learn From Tongda Group Holdings' ROCE

All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Unsurprisingly then, the stock has dived 81% over the last five years, so investors are recognizing these changes and don't like the company's prospects. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Tongda Group Holdings (of which 1 is concerning!) that you should know about.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Tongda Group Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:698

Tongda Group Holdings

Tongda Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides high-precision structural parts for smart mobile communications and consumer electronic products in People’s Republic of China, rest of Asia Pacific, Europe, the United States, and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet and good value.