How Much Did Tongda Group Holdings'(HKG:698) Shareholders Earn From Share Price Movements Over The Last Three Years?
It is doubtless a positive to see that the Tongda Group Holdings Limited (HKG:698) share price has gained some 32% in the last three months. Meanwhile over the last three years the stock has dropped hard. Regrettably, the share price slid 67% in that period. So the improvement may be a real relief to some. The rise has some hopeful, but turnarounds are often precarious.
Check out our latest analysis for Tongda Group Holdings
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the three years that the share price fell, Tongda Group Holdings' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 52% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 31% compound annual share price fall. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Tongda Group Holdings' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Tongda Group Holdings' TSR, which was a 64% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
Tongda Group Holdings shareholders are down 33% for the year, but the market itself is up 24%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 8% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Tongda Group Holdings (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
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About SEHK:698
Tongda Group Holdings
An investment holding company, provides high-precision structural parts for smart mobile communications and consumer electronic products in People’s Republic of China, rest of Asia Pacific, Europe, the United States, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.