Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Plover Bay Technologies Limited's (HKG:1523) Massive 30% Price Jump

SEHK:1523
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Plover Bay Technologies Limited (HKG:1523) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in the last month. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 5.8% over the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, Plover Bay Technologies' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 8x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

The earnings growth achieved at Plover Bay Technologies over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Plover Bay Technologies

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1523 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Plover Bay Technologies' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Plover Bay Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 90% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the market is similarly expected to grow by 23% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Plover Bay Technologies' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Plover Bay Technologies' P/E?

Plover Bay Technologies shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Plover Bay Technologies revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Plover Bay Technologies that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Plover Bay Technologies is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.