Stock Analysis

Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited (HKG:268) Stock Rockets 25% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SEHK:268
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Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited (HKG:268) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 26% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, you may consider Kingdee International Software Group as a stock not worth researching with its 5.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Kingdee International Software Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:268 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 21st 2024

What Does Kingdee International Software Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Kingdee International Software Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Kingdee International Software Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Kingdee International Software Group?

Kingdee International Software Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 69% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 18% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 16% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Kingdee International Software Group's P/S is higher than its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Kingdee International Software Group's P/S

Kingdee International Software Group's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Given Kingdee International Software Group's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Kingdee International Software Group that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kingdee International Software Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.