The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Capinfo Company Limited (HKG:1075) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Capinfo
How Much Debt Does Capinfo Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2020, Capinfo had CN¥252.1m of debt, up from CN¥175.6m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥876.3m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥624.1m net cash.
How Strong Is Capinfo's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Capinfo had liabilities of CN¥1.22b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥48.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥876.3m and CN¥448.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥56.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Capinfo could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Capinfo boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
On top of that, Capinfo grew its EBIT by 40% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Capinfo will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Capinfo has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Capinfo actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Summing up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Capinfo has net cash of CN¥624.1m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥227m, being 155% of its EBIT. So is Capinfo's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Capinfo , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About SEHK:1075
Capinfo
Provides information technology (IT) services in the People’s Republic of China.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.