Stock Analysis

Does Wine's Link International Holdings (HKG:8509) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:8509
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Wine's Link International Holdings Limited (HKG:8509) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Wine's Link International Holdings

How Much Debt Does Wine's Link International Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2021 Wine's Link International Holdings had HK$92.4m of debt, an increase on HK$88.1m, over one year. On the flip side, it has HK$31.3m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$61.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8509 Debt to Equity History February 22nd 2022

How Strong Is Wine's Link International Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Wine's Link International Holdings had liabilities of HK$116.8m due within 12 months and no liabilities due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$31.3m as well as receivables valued at HK$51.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$33.6m.

Given Wine's Link International Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$172.0m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.3, Wine's Link International Holdings uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.8 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Notably Wine's Link International Holdings's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Wine's Link International Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Wine's Link International Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Happily, Wine's Link International Holdings's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And its interest cover is good too. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Wine's Link International Holdings can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Wine's Link International Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wine's Link International Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:8509

Wine's Link International Holdings

An investment holding company, engages in the wholesale and retail of various wine products and other alcoholic beverages in Hong Kong and the People’s Republic of China.

Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.

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