Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise International Genius Company's (HKG:33) Revenues Pushing Shares 35% Higher

SEHK:33
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Despite an already strong run, International Genius Company (HKG:33) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 35% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 348% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking International Genius is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 13.5x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Retail Distributors industry have P/S ratios below 0.6x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for International Genius

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:33 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 22nd 2024

How International Genius Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at International Genius over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on International Genius' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For International Genius?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as International Genius' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 13% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 287% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that International Genius' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

What Does International Genius' P/S Mean For Investors?

International Genius' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of International Genius revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for International Genius you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.