Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Lifestyle China Group Limited's (HKG:2136) Price

SEHK:2136
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.4x in the Multiline Retail industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Lifestyle China Group Limited's (HKG:2136) P/S ratio of 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Lifestyle China Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2136 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 24th 2024

What Does Lifestyle China Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

The revenue growth achieved at Lifestyle China Group over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lifestyle China Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Lifestyle China Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 14% last year. Revenue has also lifted 21% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 23% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Lifestyle China Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Lifestyle China Group's P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Lifestyle China Group's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Lifestyle China Group.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lifestyle China Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lifestyle China Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.