Stock Analysis

Is Lifestyle China Group (HKG:2136) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:2136
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Lifestyle China Group Limited (HKG:2136) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Lifestyle China Group

How Much Debt Does Lifestyle China Group Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Lifestyle China Group had debt of CN¥3.34b, up from CN¥2.32b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.74b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥595.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2136 Debt to Equity History August 17th 2023

A Look At Lifestyle China Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Lifestyle China Group had liabilities of CN¥1.24b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥4.77b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.74b and CN¥276.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥3.00b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥1.27b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Lifestyle China Group would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Lifestyle China Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Lifestyle China Group wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 14%, to CN¥1.3b. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Lifestyle China Group produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost CN¥74m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. On the bright side, we note that trailing twelve month EBIT is worse than the free cash flow of CN¥79m and the profit of CN¥75m. So one might argue that there's still a chance it can get things on the right track. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Lifestyle China Group you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.