Stock Analysis

CIFI Holdings (Group)'s (HKG:884) Dividend Will Be Reduced To HK$0.07

CIFI Holdings (Group) Co. Ltd. (HKG:884) has announced it will be reducing its dividend payable on the 31st of August to HK$0.07. However, the dividend yield of 5.5% still remains in a typical range for the industry.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. CIFI Holdings (Group)'s stock price has reduced by 39% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for CIFI Holdings (Group)

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CIFI Holdings (Group)'s Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. However, CIFI Holdings (Group)'s earnings easily cover the dividend. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 1.8% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 25%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
SEHK:884 Historic Dividend May 24th 2022

CIFI Holdings (Group)'s Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, CIFI Holdings (Group)'s dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. Since 2013, the first annual payment was CN¥0.031, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CN¥0.16. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. CIFI Holdings (Group) has impressed us by growing EPS at 16% per year over the past five years. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.

We Really Like CIFI Holdings (Group)'s Dividend

It is generally not great to see the dividend being cut, but we don't think this should happen much if at all in the future given that CIFI Holdings (Group) has the makings of a solid income stock moving forward. Reducing the amount it is paying as a dividend can protect the company's balance sheet, keeping the dividend sustainable for longer. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 5 warning signs for CIFI Holdings (Group) (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:884

CIFI Holdings (Group)

Engages in the property development and investment business in the People’s Republic of China.

Very undervalued with moderate growth potential.

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