Stock Analysis

Here's Why China Dili Group (HKG:1387) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SEHK:1387
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that China Dili Group (HKG:1387) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for China Dili Group

What Is China Dili Group's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2020 China Dili Group had CN¥648.3m of debt, an increase on CN¥551.2m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥817.5m in cash, leading to a CN¥169.2m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1387 Debt to Equity History December 11th 2020

How Strong Is China Dili Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Dili Group had liabilities of CN¥1.23b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.43b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥817.5m in cash and CN¥496.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥3.35b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

China Dili Group has a market capitalization of CN¥12.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, China Dili Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Even more impressive was the fact that China Dili Group grew its EBIT by 125% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China Dili Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. China Dili Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last two years, China Dili Group produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 56% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing up

Although China Dili Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥169.2m. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 125% over the last year. So is China Dili Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Dili Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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