Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Onewo's (HKG:2602) For Its Upcoming Dividend

SEHK:2602
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Onewo Inc. (HKG:2602) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be two business days before the record date, which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Thus, you can purchase Onewo's shares before the 20th of May in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 13th of June.

The company's upcoming dividend is CN¥0.875 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of CN¥1.04 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Onewo stock has a trailing yield of around 5.1% on the current share price of HK$22.10. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

We've discovered 2 warning signs about Onewo. View them for free.

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Last year, Onewo paid out 107% of its income as dividends, which is above a level that we're comfortable with, especially if the company needs to reinvest in its business. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Onewo paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 146%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Onewo does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

As Onewo's dividend was not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we would be concerned that this dividend could be at risk over the long term.

Check out our latest analysis for Onewo

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
SEHK:2602 Historic Dividend May 15th 2025

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. With that in mind, we're not enthused to see that Onewo's earnings per share have remained effectively flat over the past five years. Better than seeing them fall off a cliff, for sure, but the best dividend stocks grow their earnings meaningfully over the long run.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. In the last two years, Onewo has lifted its dividend by approximately 108% a year on average.

Final Takeaway

Should investors buy Onewo for the upcoming dividend? Not only are earnings per share flat, but Onewo is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of both its earnings and cashflow to shareholders as dividends. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of Onewo.

So if you're still interested in Onewo despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Onewo and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.