China Motor Bus Company, Limited (HKG:26) has announced that it will pay a dividend of HK$0.30 per share on the 19th of October. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 4.7%.
See our latest analysis for China Motor Bus Company
China Motor Bus Company's Distributions May Be Difficult To Sustain
We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. China Motor Bus Company is unprofitable despite paying a dividend, and it is paying out 685% of its free cash flow. This is quite a strong warning sign that the dividend may not be sustainable.
Over the next year, EPS might fall by 53.4% based on recent performance. This means the company won't be turning a profit, which could place managers in the tough spot of having to choose between suspending the dividend or putting more pressure on the balance sheet.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$2.30 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$3.20. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 3.4% per annum over that time. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. China Motor Bus Company's earnings per share has shrunk at 53% a year over the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.
China Motor Bus Company's Dividend Doesn't Look Great
Overall, this isn't a great candidate as an income investment, even though the dividend was stable this year. The company isn't making enough to be paying as much as it is, and the other factors don't look particularly promising either. Overall, the dividend is not reliable enough to make this a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for China Motor Bus Company that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:26
China Motor Bus Company
Engages in the property development and investment activities in Hong Kong and the United Kingdom.
Flawless balance sheet low.