Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Coastal Greenland Limited (HKG:1124) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Coastal Greenland
What Is Coastal Greenland's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Coastal Greenland had HK$1.57b of debt in March 2023, down from HK$1.81b, one year before. On the flip side, it has HK$156.9m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$1.41b.
How Strong Is Coastal Greenland's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Coastal Greenland had liabilities of HK$2.83b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$1.14b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$156.9m as well as receivables valued at HK$1.59b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$2.22b.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$91.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Coastal Greenland would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Coastal Greenland's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Coastal Greenland reported revenue of HK$211m, which is a gain of 3,036%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!
Caveat Emptor
Despite the top line growth, Coastal Greenland still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$150m. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost HK$426m in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Coastal Greenland you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1124
Coastal Greenland
An investment holding company, invests, develops, and sells properties in the People’s Republic of China.
Moderate with adequate balance sheet.