Some InnoCare Pharma Limited (HKG:9969) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 26% Pounding
InnoCare Pharma Limited (HKG:9969) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 124% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think InnoCare Pharma's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 17.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Biotechs industry is similar at about 17.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for InnoCare Pharma
How InnoCare Pharma Has Been Performing
There hasn't been much to differentiate InnoCare Pharma's and the industry's revenue growth lately. It seems that many are expecting the mediocre revenue performance to persist, which has held the P/S ratio back. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this can at least be maintained so that you could pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think InnoCare Pharma's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is InnoCare Pharma's Revenue Growth Trending?
InnoCare Pharma's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 69% gain to the company's top line. Revenue has also lifted 11% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 31% per annum during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 95% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that InnoCare Pharma's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From InnoCare Pharma's P/S?
InnoCare Pharma's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of InnoCare Pharma's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for InnoCare Pharma you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:9969
InnoCare Pharma
A biopharmaceutical company, engages in discovering, developing, and commercializing drugs for the treatment of cancer and autoimmune diseases in China.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.
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