Stock Analysis

Grand Pharmaceutical Group (HKG:512) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At HK$0.26

SEHK:512
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Grand Pharmaceutical Group Limited (HKG:512) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 27th of June to HK$0.26. This takes the dividend yield to 6.6%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

Check out our latest analysis for Grand Pharmaceutical Group

Grand Pharmaceutical Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 120% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 70.8% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 33% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
SEHK:512 Historic Dividend March 25th 2024

Grand Pharmaceutical Group Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

The dividend's track record has been pretty solid, but with only 5 years of history we want to see a few more years of history before making any solid conclusions. Since 2019, the dividend has gone from HK$0.086 total annually to HK$0.26. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 25% per annum over that time. Grand Pharmaceutical Group has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. We are encouraged to see that Grand Pharmaceutical Group has grown earnings per share at 14% per year over the past five years. The lack of cash flows does make us a bit cautious though, especially when it comes to the future of the dividend.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Grand Pharmaceutical Group's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Grand Pharmaceutical Group that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:512

Grand Pharmaceutical Group

An investment holding company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of pharmaceutical preparations and medical devices, biotechnology and healthcare products, and pharmaceutical raw materials.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.