Stock Analysis

Tianda Pharmaceuticals (HKG:455) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

SEHK:455
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Tianda Pharmaceuticals Limited (HKG:455) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Our analysis indicates that 455 is potentially overvalued!

What Is Tianda Pharmaceuticals's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Tianda Pharmaceuticals had HK$145.4m in debt in September 2022; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has HK$263.4m in cash, leading to a HK$118.0m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:455 Debt to Equity History December 6th 2022

How Strong Is Tianda Pharmaceuticals' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tianda Pharmaceuticals had liabilities of HK$228.0m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$107.1m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$263.4m as well as receivables valued at HK$123.5m due within 12 months. So it actually has HK$51.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Tianda Pharmaceuticals could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Tianda Pharmaceuticals has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Tianda Pharmaceuticals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Tianda Pharmaceuticals saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

So How Risky Is Tianda Pharmaceuticals?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Tianda Pharmaceuticals lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of HK$62m and booked a HK$18m accounting loss. With only HK$118.0m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Tianda Pharmaceuticals has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tianda Pharmaceuticals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.