Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving CStone Pharmaceuticals' (HKG:2616) 28% Price Drop

SEHK:2616
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, CStone Pharmaceuticals (HKG:2616) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 73% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, CStone Pharmaceuticals may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios greater than 9.8x and even P/S higher than 27x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for CStone Pharmaceuticals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2616 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024

How CStone Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing

CStone Pharmaceuticals could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on CStone Pharmaceuticals.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as CStone Pharmaceuticals' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 60% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 79%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why CStone Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On CStone Pharmaceuticals' P/S

Having almost fallen off a cliff, CStone Pharmaceuticals' share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As expected, our analysis of CStone Pharmaceuticals' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for CStone Pharmaceuticals you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CStone Pharmaceuticals is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.