Stock Analysis

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Kingsoft Corporation Limited (HKG:3888)

SEHK:3888
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When close to half the companies in the Entertainment industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may consider Kingsoft Corporation Limited (HKG:3888) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Kingsoft

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3888 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 15th 2024

How Has Kingsoft Performed Recently?

Kingsoft could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Kingsoft's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Kingsoft's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Kingsoft's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 53% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 18% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Kingsoft's P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Kingsoft's P/S Mean For Investors?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Given Kingsoft's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Kingsoft with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If you're unsure about the strength of Kingsoft's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kingsoft might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.