If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at CMGE Technology Group (HKG:302) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for CMGE Technology Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.088 = CN¥426m ÷ (CN¥6.3b - CN¥1.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
So, CMGE Technology Group has an ROCE of 8.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Entertainment industry average of 15%.
View our latest analysis for CMGE Technology Group
In the above chart we have measured CMGE Technology Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for CMGE Technology Group.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of CMGE Technology Group's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has employed 591% more capital in the last four years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 8.8%. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
One more thing to note, even though ROCE has remained relatively flat over the last four years, the reduction in current liabilities to 23% of total assets, is good to see from a business owner's perspective. Effectively suppliers now fund less of the business, which can lower some elements of risk.
The Bottom Line On CMGE Technology Group's ROCE
In summary, CMGE Technology Group has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 20% over the last year. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
CMGE Technology Group does come with some risks though, we found 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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About SEHK:302
CMGE Technology Group
An investment holding company, develops and publishes intellectual property (IP)-based games in Mainland China and internationally.
Moderate growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.