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West China Cement (HKG:2233) shareholders YoY returns are lagging the company's 257% one-year earnings growth
Unless you borrow money to invest, the potential losses are limited. But if you pick the right business to buy shares in, you can make more than you can lose. For example, the West China Cement Limited (HKG:2233) share price has soared 208% in the last 1 year. Most would be very happy with that, especially in just one year! It's also good to see the share price up 110% over the last quarter. This could be related to the recent financial results, released recently - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report. It is also impressive that the stock is up 188% over three years, adding to the sense that it is a real winner.
In light of the stock dropping 3.6% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive one-year return.
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the last year West China Cement grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 257%. This EPS growth is significantly higher than the 208% increase in the share price. So it seems like the market has cooled on West China Cement, despite the growth. Interesting.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
We know that West China Cement has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think West China Cement will grow revenue in the future.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, West China Cement's TSR for the last 1 year was 216%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that West China Cement shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 216% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 26%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for West China Cement (1 shouldn't be ignored) that you should be aware of.
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if West China Cement might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2233
West China Cement
An investment holding company, manufactures and sells cement and cement products in the People’s Republic of China, Mozambique, Ethiopia, Democratic Republic of Congo, Other African countries, and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential with proven track record.
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