Stock Analysis

We Think Pan Asia Data Holdings (HKG:1561) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

SEHK:1561
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Pan Asia Data Holdings Inc. (HKG:1561) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Pan Asia Data Holdings

How Much Debt Does Pan Asia Data Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Pan Asia Data Holdings had HK$663.6m of debt, up from HK$559.6m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had HK$227.9m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$435.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1561 Debt to Equity History May 14th 2021

How Strong Is Pan Asia Data Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Pan Asia Data Holdings had liabilities of HK$923.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$338.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had HK$227.9m in cash and HK$227.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$806.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of HK$1.34b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Pan Asia Data Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Pan Asia Data Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$622m, which is a fall of 15%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Pan Asia Data Holdings's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost HK$85m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled HK$168m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Pan Asia Data Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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