Stock Analysis

Chongqing Iron & Steel (HKG:1053) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SEHK:1053
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Chongqing Iron & Steel Company Limited (HKG:1053) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Chongqing Iron & Steel

What Is Chongqing Iron & Steel's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 Chongqing Iron & Steel had CN„5.27b of debt, an increase on CN„4.83b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN„3.67b, its net debt is less, at about CN„1.60b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1053 Debt to Equity History August 23rd 2021

A Look At Chongqing Iron & Steel's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Chongqing Iron & Steel had liabilities of CN„13.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN„7.77b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN„3.67b in cash and CN„2.39b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN„14.9b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN„22.9b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Chongqing Iron & Steel's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Chongqing Iron & Steel has net debt of just 0.56 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 9.9 times the interest expense over the last year. Even more impressive was the fact that Chongqing Iron & Steel grew its EBIT by 173% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Chongqing Iron & Steel will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Chongqing Iron & Steel created free cash flow amounting to 20% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

On our analysis Chongqing Iron & Steel's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to convert EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Chongqing Iron & Steel is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Chongqing Iron & Steel has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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