Stock Analysis

We're Not Very Worried About Beijing Airdoc Technology's (HKG:2251) Cash Burn Rate

SEHK:2251
Source: Shutterstock

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

So, the natural question for Beijing Airdoc Technology (HKG:2251) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Check out our latest analysis for Beijing Airdoc Technology

When Might Beijing Airdoc Technology Run Out Of Money?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at December 2021, Beijing Airdoc Technology had cash of CN¥1.8b and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥140m. So it had a very long cash runway of many years from December 2021. Notably, however, analysts think that Beijing Airdoc Technology will break even (at a free cash flow level) before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2251 Debt to Equity History June 9th 2022

How Well Is Beijing Airdoc Technology Growing?

Notably, Beijing Airdoc Technology actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 116%, signifying heavy investment in the business. Of course, the truly verdant revenue growth of 142% in that time may well justify the growth spend. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

Can Beijing Airdoc Technology Raise More Cash Easily?

While Beijing Airdoc Technology seems to be in a decent position, we reckon it is still worth thinking about how easily it could raise more cash, if that proved desirable. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Beijing Airdoc Technology has a market capitalisation of CN¥1.7b and burnt through CN¥140m last year, which is 8.3% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

How Risky Is Beijing Airdoc Technology's Cash Burn Situation?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Beijing Airdoc Technology is burning through its cash. For example, we think its revenue growth suggests that the company is on a good path. While we must concede that its increasing cash burn is a bit worrying, the other factors mentioned in this article provide great comfort when it comes to the cash burn. One real positive is that analysts are forecasting that the company will reach breakeven. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Beijing Airdoc Technology that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

Of course Beijing Airdoc Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Beijing Airdoc Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:2251

Beijing Airdoc Technology

Provides artificial intelligence (AI) empowered retina-based early detection, diagnosis, and health risk assessment solutions for medical institutions, consumer healthcare environments, and eye health management settings in Mainland China and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.