Stock Analysis

Here's Why China Resources Medical Holdings (HKG:1515) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SEHK:1515
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, China Resources Medical Holdings Company Limited (HKG:1515) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for China Resources Medical Holdings

What Is China Resources Medical Holdings's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 China Resources Medical Holdings had CN¥1.90b of debt, an increase on CN¥950.2m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.33b in cash, so it actually has CN¥433.1m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1515 Debt to Equity History September 6th 2021

How Healthy Is China Resources Medical Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Resources Medical Holdings had liabilities of CN¥3.24b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥466.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.33b and CN¥912.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥458.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, China Resources Medical Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥7.79b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, China Resources Medical Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

But the bad news is that China Resources Medical Holdings has seen its EBIT plunge 11% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Resources Medical Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. China Resources Medical Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, China Resources Medical Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 91% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that China Resources Medical Holdings has CN¥433.1m in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 91% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥426m. So is China Resources Medical Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Resources Medical Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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