Stock Analysis

Do China Shengmu Organic Milk's (HKG:1432) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

SEHK:1432
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.'

So if you're like me, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like China Shengmu Organic Milk (HKG:1432). Even if the shares are fully valued today, most capitalists would recognize its profits as the demonstration of steady value generation. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, but time is often a friend of the profitable company, especially if it is growing.

See our latest analysis for China Shengmu Organic Milk

China Shengmu Organic Milk's Improving Profits

In business, though not in life, profits are a key measure of success; and share prices tend to reflect earnings per share (EPS). So like the hint of a smile on a face that I love, growing EPS generally makes me look twice. It is therefore awe-striking that China Shengmu Organic Milk's EPS went from CN¥0.013 to CN¥0.053 in just one year. Even though that growth rate is unlikely to be repeated, that looks like a breakout improvement.

I like to take a look at earnings before interest and (EBIT) tax margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. China Shengmu Organic Milk shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 31% to 33%, and revenue is growing. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in my book.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1432 Earnings and Revenue History July 27th 2021

While it's always good to see growing profits, you should always remember that a weak balance sheet could come back to bite. So check China Shengmu Organic Milk's balance sheet strength, before getting too excited.

Are China Shengmu Organic Milk Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

I like company leaders to have some skin in the game, so to speak, because it increases alignment of incentives between the people running the business, and its true owners. As a result, I'm encouraged by the fact that insiders own China Shengmu Organic Milk shares worth a considerable sum. Notably, they have an enormous stake in the company, worth CN¥973m. That equates to 20% of the company, making insiders powerful and aligned with other shareholders. So it might be my imagination, but I do sense the glimmer of an opportunity.

It's good to see that insiders are invested in the company, but are remuneration levels reasonable? Well, based on the CEO pay, I'd say they are indeed. For companies with market capitalizations between CN¥2.6b and CN¥10b, like China Shengmu Organic Milk, the median CEO pay is around CN¥2.9m.

The CEO of China Shengmu Organic Milk only received CN¥926k in total compensation for the year ending . That looks like modest pay to me, and may hint at a certain respect for the interests of shareholders. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Should You Add China Shengmu Organic Milk To Your Watchlist?

China Shengmu Organic Milk's earnings per share have taken off like a rocket aimed right at the moon. The cherry on top is that insiders own a bucket-load of shares, and the CEO pay seems really quite reasonable. The strong EPS improvement suggests the businesses is humming along. China Shengmu Organic Milk certainly ticks a few of my boxes, so I think it's probably well worth further consideration. Before you take the next step you should know about the 5 warning signs for China Shengmu Organic Milk (1 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you can do well (sometimes) buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But as a growth investor I always like to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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