Stock Analysis

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In King Stone Energy Group Limited (HKG:663)

SEHK:663
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.7x, King Stone Energy Group Limited (HKG:663) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 1.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for King Stone Energy Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:663 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 9th 2023

What Does King Stone Energy Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for King Stone Energy Group as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on King Stone Energy Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, King Stone Energy Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 72%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to decline by 4.8% over the next year, which puts the company's recent medium-term positive growth rates in a good light for now.

In light of this, it's understandable that King Stone Energy Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the industry. However, its current revenue trajectory will be very difficult to maintain against the headwinds other companies are facing at the moment.

What Does King Stone Energy Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We see that King Stone Energy Group justifiably maintains its high P/S on the merits of its recentthree-year revenue growth beating forecasts amidst struggling industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenues aren't under threat. Our only concern is whether its revenue trajectory can keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. Otherwise, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future if its revenue performance persists.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for King Stone Energy Group (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if King Stone Energy Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.