Stock Analysis

China Education Group Holdings (HKG:839) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

SEHK:839
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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at China Education Group Holdings (HKG:839), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for China Education Group Holdings, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.076 = CN¥2.0b ÷ (CN¥35b - CN¥8.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to February 2023).

So, China Education Group Holdings has an ROCE of 7.6%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 8.3%, it's still a low return by itself.

See our latest analysis for China Education Group Holdings

roce
SEHK:839 Return on Capital Employed June 8th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for China Education Group Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for China Education Group Holdings.

SWOT Analysis for China Education Group Holdings

Strength
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Consumer Services market.
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • Annual revenue is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
  • Significant insider buying over the past 3 months.
Threat
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market.

The Trend Of ROCE

The returns on capital haven't changed much for China Education Group Holdings in recent years. The company has consistently earned 7.6% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 316% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.

Our Take On China Education Group Holdings' ROCE

Long story short, while China Education Group Holdings has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 52% in the last five years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for China Education Group Holdings you'll probably want to know about.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.