Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that NagaCorp Ltd. (HKG:3918) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for NagaCorp
How Much Debt Does NagaCorp Carry?
As you can see below, NagaCorp had US$543.0m of debt at December 2021, down from US$635.6m a year prior. However, it also had US$124.3m in cash, and so its net debt is US$418.7m.
How Strong Is NagaCorp's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that NagaCorp had liabilities of US$151.4m due within a year, and liabilities of US$626.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$124.3m and US$39.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$613.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given NagaCorp has a market capitalization of US$3.88b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine NagaCorp's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year NagaCorp had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 76%, to US$214m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While NagaCorp's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$104m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$114m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When I consider a company to be a bit risky, I think it is responsible to check out whether insiders have been reporting any share sales. Luckily, you can click here ito see our graphic depicting NagaCorp insider transactions.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About SEHK:3918
NagaCorp
An investment holding company, manages and operates a hotel and casino complex in the Kingdom of Cambodia.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.