Stock Analysis

Additional Considerations Required While Assessing Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding's (HKG:265) Strong Earnings

SEHK:265
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Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding Limited's (HKG:265) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

See our latest analysis for Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:265 Earnings and Revenue History September 28th 2023

Zooming In On Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding has an accrual ratio of 0.20 for the year to June 2023. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of HK$51m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of HK$25.2m. It's worth noting that Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding generated positive FCF of HK$98m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. One positive for Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding.

Our Take On Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding's Profit Performance

Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding has 3 warning signs (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.