Companies Like Asia Grocery Distribution (HKG:8413) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth

By
Simply Wall St
Published
November 17, 2021
SEHK:8413
Source: Shutterstock

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Asia Grocery Distribution (HKG:8413) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

View our latest analysis for Asia Grocery Distribution

How Long Is Asia Grocery Distribution's Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. When Asia Grocery Distribution last reported its balance sheet in September 2021, it had zero debt and cash worth HK$35m. Importantly, its cash burn was HK$12m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from September 2021 it had 2.8 years of cash runway. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8413 Debt to Equity History November 17th 2021

How Well Is Asia Grocery Distribution Growing?

Asia Grocery Distribution reduced its cash burn by 17% during the last year, which points to some degree of discipline. Revenue also improved during the period, increasing by 17%. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how Asia Grocery Distribution is building its business over time.

How Hard Would It Be For Asia Grocery Distribution To Raise More Cash For Growth?

We are certainly impressed with the progress Asia Grocery Distribution has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Asia Grocery Distribution's cash burn of HK$12m is about 5.9% of its HK$210m market capitalisation. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

So, Should We Worry About Asia Grocery Distribution's Cash Burn?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Asia Grocery Distribution's cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Its weak point is its cash burn reduction, but even that wasn't too bad! After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Asia Grocery Distribution you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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