Stock Analysis

Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit Co., Limited's (HKG:6689) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 29% Slump

SEHK:6689
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The Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit Co., Limited (HKG:6689) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may still consider Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit as a stock to avoid entirely with its 19.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:6689 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 112%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 559% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 32% per year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 20% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit's P/E

Even after such a strong price drop, Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.