Stock Analysis

Here's Why Lippo China Resources (HKG:156) Can Afford Some Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Lippo China Resources Limited (HKG:156) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Lippo China Resources

What Is Lippo China Resources's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Lippo China Resources had HK$788.5m of debt at June 2023, down from HK$997.9m a year prior. However, it does have HK$778.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$9.97m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:156 Debt to Equity History November 9th 2023

How Strong Is Lippo China Resources' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Lippo China Resources had liabilities of HK$832.0m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$409.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had HK$778.5m in cash and HK$173.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$289.1m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Lippo China Resources has a market capitalization of HK$753.3m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. But either way, Lippo China Resources has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Lippo China Resources will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Lippo China Resources wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 12%, to HK$679m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Lippo China Resources had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$156m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of HK$204m. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Lippo China Resources has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:156

Lippo China Resources

An investment holding company, engages in the food, property management, and other businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Singapore, Malaysia, and internationally.

Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.

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