Stock Analysis

Are Cabbeen Fashion Limited's (HKG:2030) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

SEHK:2030
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Cabbeen Fashion (HKG:2030) has had a rough week with its share price down 8.8%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on Cabbeen Fashion's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Cabbeen Fashion

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cabbeen Fashion is:

15% = CN¥195m ÷ CN¥1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.15.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Cabbeen Fashion's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

To start with, Cabbeen Fashion's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 6.5% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Needless to say, we are quite surprised to see that Cabbeen Fashion's net income shrunk at a rate of 6.4% over the past five years. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company's growth. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

Next, when we compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 2.2% in the same period, we still found Cabbeen Fashion's performance to be quite bleak, because the company has been shrinking its earnings faster than the industry.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:2030 Past Earnings Growth February 22nd 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Cabbeen Fashion fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Cabbeen Fashion Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 40% (or a retention ratio of 60%) which is pretty normal, Cabbeen Fashion's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Additionally, Cabbeen Fashion has paid dividends over a period of seven years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Cabbeen Fashion certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Cabbeen Fashion.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:2030

Cabbeen Fashion

A fashion casual menswear company, designs and retails apparel, shoes, and accessories for men, women, and kids under the Cabbeen, Cabbeen Lifestyle, Cabbeen Urban, Cabbeen Love, and 2AM brands in the People’s Republic of China.

Flawless balance sheet with questionable track record.