Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that China Jicheng Holdings Limited (HKG:1027) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for China Jicheng Holdings
How Much Debt Does China Jicheng Holdings Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, China Jicheng Holdings had CN¥113.8m of debt, up from CN¥101.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥96.5m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥17.3m.
A Look At China Jicheng Holdings' Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that China Jicheng Holdings had liabilities of CN¥175.3m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥364.0k falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥96.5m as well as receivables valued at CN¥148.7m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥69.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that China Jicheng Holdings is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is China Jicheng Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year China Jicheng Holdings wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 25%, to CN¥355m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate China Jicheng Holdings's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥90m at the EBIT level. On a more positive note, the company does have liquid assets, so it has a bit of time to improve its operations before the debt becomes an acute problem. Still, we'd be more encouraged to study the business in depth if it already had some free cash flow. So it seems too risky for our taste. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for China Jicheng Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1027
China Jicheng Holdings
Manufactures and sells POE umbrellas, nylon umbrellas, and umbrella parts in the People’s Republic of China.
Adequate balance sheet slight.