Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Riverine China Holdings (HKG:1417) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SEHK:1417
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Riverine China Holdings Limited (HKG:1417) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the HK Commercial Services industry.

What Is Riverine China Holdings's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Riverine China Holdings had CN¥137.1m of debt, an increase on CN¥86.8m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥99.0m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥38.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1417 Debt to Equity History October 29th 2022

How Healthy Is Riverine China Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Riverine China Holdings had liabilities of CN¥418.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥191.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥99.0m and CN¥332.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥177.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Riverine China Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥689.8m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Riverine China Holdings has net debt of just 0.56 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 8.1 times the interest expense over the last year. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Riverine China Holdings has boosted its EBIT by 86%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Riverine China Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Riverine China Holdings reported free cash flow worth 19% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Riverine China Holdings's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that Riverine China Holdings can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Riverine China Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit concerning...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.