There Is A Reason CITIC Limited's (HKG:267) Price Is Undemanding

CITIC Limited's (HKG:267) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.6x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 12x and even P/E's above 23x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

We've discovered 2 warning signs about CITIC. View them for free.

Recent earnings growth for CITIC has been in line with the market. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this modest earnings performance may begin to slide. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for CITIC

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CITIC will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like CITIC's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its EPS growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has definitely eluded the company recently.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 7.2% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that CITIC's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that CITIC maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for CITIC (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.