Kingland Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:1751) Shares Climb 31% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Explore Kingland Group Holdings's Fair Values from the Community and select yours

Kingland Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1751) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.6% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Kingland Group Holdings is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.2x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Construction industry have P/S ratios below 0.3x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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Check out our latest analysis for Kingland Group Holdings

How Kingland Group Holdings Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Kingland Group Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kingland Group Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Kingland Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 20% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 4.5% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Kingland Group Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Kingland Group Holdings' P/S

Kingland Group Holdings' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Kingland Group Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Kingland Group Holdings that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Kingland Group Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.