Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited (HKG:489) But Growth Is Lacking

SEHK:489
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.5x in the Auto industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited's (HKG:489) P/S ratio of 0.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Dongfeng Motor Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:489 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 30th 2024

What Does Dongfeng Motor Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Dongfeng Motor Group has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Dongfeng Motor Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Dongfeng Motor Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 7.2% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 8.4% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.4% per year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 18% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Dongfeng Motor Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Dongfeng Motor Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Given that Dongfeng Motor Group's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Dongfeng Motor Group with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Dongfeng Motor Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.