Stock Analysis

Despite shrinking by €82m in the past week, Intralot Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (ATH:INLOT) shareholders are still up 164% over 3 years

Published
ATSE:INLOT

Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (ATH:INLOT) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 11% in the last week. But that doesn't undermine the rather lovely longer-term return, if you measure over the last three years. The share price marched upwards over that time, and is now 158% higher than it was. To some, the recent share price pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a good run. The thing to consider is whether the underlying business is doing well enough to support the current price.

While this past week has detracted from the company's three-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

See our latest analysis for Intralot Integrated Lottery Systems and Services

While Intralot Integrated Lottery Systems and Services made a small profit, in the last year, we think that the market is probably more focussed on the top line growth at the moment. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

Intralot Integrated Lottery Systems and Services actually saw its revenue drop by 2.9% per year over three years. So we wouldn't have expected the share price to gain 37% per year, but it has. It's fair to say shareholders are definitely counting on a bright future.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

ATSE:INLOT Earnings and Revenue Growth August 6th 2024

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Intralot Integrated Lottery Systems and Services

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Intralot Integrated Lottery Systems and Services' share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for Intralot Integrated Lottery Systems and Services shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 164%, over the last 3 years, is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Intralot Integrated Lottery Systems and Services shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 67% over one year. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 20% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Intralot Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Greek exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.