National Express Group PLC provides public transport services in the United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, Morocco, Switzerland, the United States, and Canada. More Details
Reasonable growth potential and slightly overvalued.
Share Price & News
How has National Express Group's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?
Latest Share Price and Events
Stable Share Price: NEX is not significantly more volatile than the rest of UK stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 5% a week.
Volatility Over Time: NEX's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
7 Day Return
1 Year Return
Return vs Industry: NEX underperformed the UK Transportation industry which returned 37.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: NEX matched the UK Market which returned 21.3% over the past year.
Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market
How volatile is National Express Group's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?
Simply Wall St News
2 weeks ago | Simply Wall StIs It Time To Consider Buying National Express Group PLC (LON:NEX)?
1 month ago | Simply Wall StNational Express Group (LON:NEX) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
2 months ago | Simply Wall StNational Express Group's(LON:NEX) Share Price Is Down 25% Over The Past Three Years.
Is National Express Group undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
Undervalued compared to fair value
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: NEX (£2.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£3.74)
Significantly Below Fair Value: NEX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: NEX is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the European Transportation industry average.
PE vs Market: NEX is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the UK market.
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NEX's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: NEX's PB Ratio (1.2x) is in line with the GB Transportation industry average.
How is National Express Group forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 9 analysts?
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: NEX is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (0.9%).
Earnings vs Market: NEX is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: NEX's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: NEX's revenue (12.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (5.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: NEX's revenue (12.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: NEX's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.9%).
How has National Express Group performed over the past 5 years?
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: NEX is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: NEX is currently unprofitable.
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: NEX is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 32.4% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare NEX's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: NEX is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Transportation industry (-24.9%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: NEX has a negative Return on Equity (-22.13%), as it is currently unprofitable.
How is National Express Group's financial position?
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: NEX's short term assets (£1.0B) do not cover its short term liabilities (£1.1B).
Long Term Liabilities: NEX's short term assets (£1.0B) do not cover its long term liabilities (£1.8B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: NEX's debt to equity ratio (78.2%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: NEX's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 86.9% to 78.2% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: NEX's operating cash flow is negative, therefore debt is not well covered.
Interest Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if NEX's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT.
What is National Express Group current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Forecast Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate NEX's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
High Dividend: Unable to evaluate NEX's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if NEX's dividends per share have been stable in the past.
Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if NEX's dividend payments have been increasing.
Current Payout to Shareholders
Dividend Coverage: NEX is not paying a notable dividend for the UK market.
Future Payout to Shareholders
Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of NEX's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the UK market.
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
Mr. Jose Ignacio Garat serves as the Group Chief Executive Officer and Director at National Express Group PLC since November 1, 2020. Mr. Garat was Senior Vice President Southern Europe, France and Benelux...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Jose's total compensation ($USD850.57K) is below average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD1.65M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Insufficient data to compare Jose's compensation with company performance.
Experienced Management: NEX's management team is considered experienced (4 years average tenure).
Experienced Board: NEX's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.9 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: NEX insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
National Express Group PLC's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: National Express Group PLC
- Ticker: NEX
- Exchange: LSE
- Founded: 1991
- Industry: Trucking
- Sector: Transportation
- Market Cap: UK£1.724b
- Shares outstanding: 613.21m
- Website: https://www.nationalexpressgroup.com
Number of Employees
- National Express Group PLC
- National Express House
- Birmingham Coach Station
- West Midlands
- B5 6DD
- United Kingdom
National Express Group PLC provides public transport services in the United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, Morocco, Switzerland, the United States, and Canada. The company operates through UK, German Rail, ALSA,...
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2021/06/13 18:40|
|End of Day Share Price||2021/06/11 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.