FirstGroup (FGP) Stock Overview
Provides public transport services in the United Kingdom. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 0/6 |
| Past Performance | 5/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
FGP Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
FirstGroup plc Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | UK£1.66 |
| 52 Week High | UK£2.40 |
| 52 Week Low | UK£1.52 |
| Beta | 0.72 |
| 1 Month Change | -6.76% |
| 3 Month Change | -13.26% |
| 1 Year Change | -11.73% |
| 3 Year Change | 45.82% |
| 5 Year Change | 92.44% |
| Change since IPO | 13.36% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 10
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target on FirstGroup, with the latest fair value estimate holding at £2.50. Updated assumptions on the discount rate and future P/E have contributed to a more refined view of the stock.Narrative Update • Apr 24
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target on FirstGroup to £2.50 per share, citing only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, rather than any major shift in the investment case. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is held at £2.50, with no change to the central estimate.Narrative Update • Apr 10
FGP: Stronger Margin Outlook And Steady P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup slightly, citing marginally higher discount rate assumptions, a small extra revenue decline and a modestly stronger profit margin outlook, which leaves their overall fair value estimate at £2.50 per share. Valuation Changes Fair Value: £2.50 per share is unchanged in the updated assessment.Narrative Update • Mar 26
FGP: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup by £0.01, reflecting slightly lower fair value and profit margin assumptions, alongside a modestly higher discount rate and future P/E multiple in their models. Valuation Changes Fair value has been reduced slightly from £2.51 to £2.50 per share.Narrative Update • Mar 12
FGP: Stable Assumptions And Earnings Multiple Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup to £2.51, with the small adjustment reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E. Together, these factors support a broadly unchanged view of the shares.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 10
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target on FirstGroup, with the latest fair value estimate holding at £2.50. Updated assumptions on the discount rate and future P/E have contributed to a more refined view of the stock.Narrative Update • Apr 24
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target on FirstGroup to £2.50 per share, citing only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, rather than any major shift in the investment case. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is held at £2.50, with no change to the central estimate.Narrative Update • Apr 10
FGP: Stronger Margin Outlook And Steady P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup slightly, citing marginally higher discount rate assumptions, a small extra revenue decline and a modestly stronger profit margin outlook, which leaves their overall fair value estimate at £2.50 per share. Valuation Changes Fair Value: £2.50 per share is unchanged in the updated assessment.Narrative Update • Mar 26
FGP: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup by £0.01, reflecting slightly lower fair value and profit margin assumptions, alongside a modestly higher discount rate and future P/E multiple in their models. Valuation Changes Fair value has been reduced slightly from £2.51 to £2.50 per share.Narrative Update • Mar 12
FGP: Stable Assumptions And Earnings Multiple Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup to £2.51, with the small adjustment reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E. Together, these factors support a broadly unchanged view of the shares.Narrative Update • Feb 26
FGP: New Overground Contract Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have kept their £2.51 price target for FirstGroup broadly steady, citing only minor tweaks to assumptions such as a slightly higher discount rate and modestly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E inputs. What's in the News FirstGroup agreed to acquire the UK sightseeing bus operations of RATP Développement for about £17 million.Narrative Update • Feb 11
FGP: New Overground Contract And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have kept their fair value view broadly unchanged for FirstGroup, with only small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin and future P/E. This has led to a marginal tweak in their £ price target rather than a significant reset of their outlook.Narrative Update • Jan 27
FGP: New Overground Win And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup slightly higher to £2.51 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends and profit margins, while keeping the long term P/E outlook broadly unchanged. What's in the News FirstGroup agreed to acquire the UK sightseeing bus operations of RATP Développement for about £17m, adding 63 buses across London and Bath, two depots and around 190 employees to the First Bus business (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 09
FGP: Higher Interim Dividend Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target for FirstGroup slightly higher to around £2.51. This reflects small adjustments to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions and expectations for revenue contraction, profit margins and future P/E multiples.Analysis Article • Dec 15
We Think FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Narrative Update • Dec 14
FGP: Dividend And Buyback Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup higher, lifting fair value from £2.39 to £2.50 as they factor in slightly improved revenue expectations despite a modestly softer margin and higher discount rate. What's in the News Board proposes an interim dividend of 2.2 pence per share for H1 2026, up from 1.7 pence in H1 2025.Analysis Article • Nov 21
FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.022
The board of FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 30th of December, with...Analysis Article • Oct 22
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Analysis Article • Sep 03
Investors Don't See Light At End Of FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) Tunnel
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Transportation industry in the United Kingdom have price-to-sales...Analysis Article • Jun 15
Analysts Are Betting On FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) With A Big Upgrade This Week
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...Analysis Article • May 08
FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...Analysis Article • Apr 21
Should You Think About Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Now?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...Analysis Article • Mar 25
Is FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
New Narrative • Feb 08
Bus Electrification And London-Stirling Rail Route Will Improve Future Operations
Electrification of the bus fleet, supported by partnerships and CapEx, aims to improve efficiency and margins long-term.Analysis Article • Nov 21
Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of FirstGroup's (LON:FGP) Earnings
When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like FirstGroup plc's ( LON:FGP ) stock...Analysis Article • Oct 04
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, FirstGroup fair value estimate is UK£1.36 Current share price...Analysis Article • Sep 12
What FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) P/S Is Not Telling You
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.4x in the Transportation industry in the United Kingdom...Analysis Article • Aug 06
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during...Analysis Article • Jul 02
Estimating The Fair Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)
Key Insights The projected fair value for FirstGroup is UK£1.51 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Analysis Article • May 26
Should You Think About Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Now?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the LSE gainers with a relatively large price...Analysis Article • Mar 30
Is FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Trading At A 27% Discount?
Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of FirstGroup plc...Shareholder Returns
| FGP | GB Transportation | GB Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -1.8% | -2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1Y | -11.7% | 6.8% | 18.0% |
Return vs Industry: FGP underperformed the UK Transportation industry which returned 6.8% over the past year.
Return vs Market: FGP underperformed the UK Market which returned 18% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| FGP volatility | |
|---|---|
| FGP Average Weekly Movement | 3.6% |
| Transportation Industry Average Movement | 4.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 5.7% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in GB Market | 12.0% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in GB Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: FGP has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the UK market.
Volatility Over Time: FGP's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 | 29,000 | Graham Sutherland | www.firstgroupplc.com |
FirstGroup plc provides public transport services in the United Kingdom. It operates through First Bus and First Rail segments. The First Bus segment offers local bus services with a fleet of approximately 5,800 buses and coaches in the United Kingdom.
FirstGroup plc Fundamentals Summary
| FGP fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | UK£896.16m |
| Earnings (TTM) | UK£128.50m |
| Revenue (TTM) | UK£4.99b |
7.0x
P/E Ratio0.2x
P/S RatioIs FGP overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| FGP income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | UK£4.99b |
| Cost of Revenue | UK£1.87b |
| Gross Profit | UK£3.12b |
| Other Expenses | UK£2.99b |
| Earnings | UK£128.50m |
Last Reported Earnings
Sep 27, 2025
Next Earnings Date
Jun 18, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.24 |
| Gross Margin | 62.57% |
| Net Profit Margin | 2.57% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 61.9% |
How did FGP perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
4.2%
Current Dividend Yield31%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/21 17:47 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/09/27 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/03/29 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
FirstGroup plc is covered by 21 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Fintzen | Barclays |
| Jack Cummings | Berenberg |
| James Edward Hollins | BNP Paribas |