FirstGroup plc provides passenger transport services. More Details
No risks detected for FGP from our risk checks.
Moderate growth potential with imperfect balance sheet.
Share Price & News
How has FirstGroup's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?
Latest Share Price and Events
Stable Share Price: FGP is not significantly more volatile than the rest of UK stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 5% a week.
Volatility Over Time: FGP's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
7 Day Return
1 Year Return
Return vs Industry: FGP exceeded the UK Transportation industry which returned 37.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: FGP exceeded the UK Market which returned 21.3% over the past year.
Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market
How volatile is FirstGroup's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?
Simply Wall St News
Is FirstGroup undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
Price to Book (PB) ratio
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: FGP (£0.82) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.1)
Significantly Below Fair Value: FGP is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: FGP is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the European Transportation industry average.
PE vs Market: FGP is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the UK market.
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FGP's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: FGP is good value based on its PB Ratio (1x) compared to the GB Transportation industry average (1.2x).
How is FirstGroup forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 9 analysts?
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: FGP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (0.9%).
Earnings vs Market: FGP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: FGP's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: FGP's revenue (0.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the UK market (5.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: FGP's revenue (0.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: FGP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.1%).
How has FirstGroup performed over the past 5 years?
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: FGP is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: FGP is currently unprofitable.
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: FGP is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 55.1% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare FGP's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: FGP is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Transportation industry (-24.9%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: FGP has a negative Return on Equity (-23.63%), as it is currently unprofitable.
How is FirstGroup's financial position?
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: FGP's short term assets (£2.6B) do not cover its short term liabilities (£3.8B).
Long Term Liabilities: FGP's short term assets (£2.6B) do not cover its long term liabilities (£3.9B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: FGP's debt to equity ratio (212.5%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: FGP's debt to equity ratio has increased from 114.6% to 212.5% over the past 5 years.
Cash Runway Analysis
For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.
Stable Cash Runway: Whilst unprofitable FGP has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years if it maintains its current positive free cash flow level.
Forecast Cash Runway: FGP is unprofitable but has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years, due to free cash flow being positive and growing by 53.5% per year.
What is FirstGroup current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Forecast Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate FGP's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
High Dividend: Unable to evaluate FGP's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if FGP's dividends per share have been stable in the past.
Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if FGP's dividend payments have been increasing.
Current Payout to Shareholders
Dividend Coverage: FGP is not paying a notable dividend for the UK market.
Future Payout to Shareholders
Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of FGP's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the UK market.
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
Mr. Matthew Gregory is Chief Executive at Firstgroup plc since November 13, 2018 and is its Executive Director since December 1, 2015. Mr. Gregory was an Interim Chief Operating Officer at Firstgroup plc s...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Matthew's total compensation ($USD1.11M) is about average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD1.38M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Matthew's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Experienced Management: FGP's management team is considered experienced (4.5 years average tenure).
Experienced Board: FGP's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.1 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
FirstGroup plc's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: FirstGroup plc
- Ticker: FGP
- Exchange: LSE
- Founded: 1995
- Industry: Trucking
- Sector: Transportation
- Market Cap: UK£1.000b
- Shares outstanding: 1.22b
- Website: https://www.firstgroupplc.com
Number of Employees
- FirstGroup plc
- 395 King Street
- AB24 5RP
- United Kingdom
FirstGroup plc provides passenger transport services. The company operates through five segments: First Student, First Transit, Greyhound, First Bus, and First Rail. The First Student segment offers studen...
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2021/06/13 19:06|
|End of Day Share Price||2021/06/11 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.