FirstGroup plc

LSE:FGP Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£984.7m

FirstGroup Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

FirstGroup's revenue is forecast to decline at 24.5% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 3.1% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 3.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.3% in 3 years.

Key information

3.1%

Earnings growth rate

3.5%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth23.7%
Revenue growth rate-24.5%
Future return on equity16.3%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated08 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of FirstGroup's (LON:FGP) Earnings

Nov 21
Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of FirstGroup's (LON:FGP) Earnings

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)

Oct 04
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)

What FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) P/S Is Not Telling You

Sep 12
What FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) P/S Is Not Telling You

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?

Aug 06
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?

Estimating The Fair Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)

Jul 02
Estimating The Fair Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)

Should You Think About Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Now?

May 26
Should You Think About Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Now?

Is FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Trading At A 27% Discount?

Mar 30
Is FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Trading At A 27% Discount?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:FGP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/20272,537106441256
3/31/20263,735111731866
3/31/20254,859110712046
9/28/20244,85295470646N/A
6/28/20244,78442397595N/A
3/30/20244,715-10324543N/A
12/30/20234,732-8367592N/A
9/30/20234,750-7410642N/A
6/30/20234,75236403608N/A
3/25/20234,75579396574N/A
12/25/20224,71069204380N/A
9/24/20224,6645913186N/A
6/24/20224,62824-12687N/A
3/26/20224,591-11-264-12N/A
12/26/20214,4982-111229N/A
9/25/20214,4051543470N/A
6/25/20214,36212413837N/A
3/27/20214,319107841,204N/A
9/26/20203,164-2091,0351,306N/A
6/26/20203,903-2738311,131N/A
3/28/20204,643-337626957N/A
12/31/20197,555-280430812N/A
9/30/20197,356-233233667N/A
6/30/20197,241-150183615N/A
3/31/20197,127-67134564N/A
12/31/20187,029-186145571N/A
9/30/20186,930-305156578N/A
6/30/20186,664-301N/A607N/A
3/31/20186,398-296N/A637N/A
12/31/20176,129-95N/A660N/A
9/30/20175,860105N/A683N/A
6/30/20175,757109N/A602N/A
3/31/20175,653112N/A520N/A
12/31/20165,498108N/A522N/A
9/30/20165,342105N/A523N/A
6/30/20165,28097N/A466N/A
3/31/20165,21890N/A410N/A
12/31/20155,38479N/A306N/A
9/30/20155,55167N/A202N/A
6/30/20155,80171N/A264N/A
3/31/20156,05175N/A325N/A
12/31/20146,20467N/A366N/A
9/30/20146,35858N/A407N/A
6/30/20146,53856N/A350N/A
3/31/20146,71754N/A292N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FGP's forecast earnings growth (3.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.1%).

Earnings vs Market: FGP's earnings (3.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (14.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FGP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: FGP's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-24.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FGP's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-24.5% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FGP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 16:37
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2024/03/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

FirstGroup plc is covered by 31 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gerald KhooArbuthnot Securities Limited
David FintzenBarclays
Jack CummingsBerenberg