Stock Analysis

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Windward Ltd. (LON:WNWD)

AIM:WNWD
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2.7x in the Software industry in the United Kingdom, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Windward Ltd.'s (LON:WNWD) P/S ratio, which comes in at about the same. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Windward

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:WNWD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 25th 2023

What Does Windward's Recent Performance Look Like?

Windward's revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think this modest revenue performance will continue. Those who are bullish on Windward will be hoping that revenue performance can pick up, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

Keen to find out how analysts think Windward's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Windward's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Windward's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 25% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 79% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per annum as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 9.8% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Windward's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does Windward's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Windward's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Windward (including 1 which is concerning).

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Windward might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.