Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, SysGroup plc (LON:SYS) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for SysGroup
How Much Debt Does SysGroup Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2023, SysGroup had UK£4.71m of debt, up from UK£803.0k a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has UK£4.19m in cash leading to net debt of about UK£519.0k.
How Strong Is SysGroup's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that SysGroup had liabilities of UK£8.48m due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£9.21m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had UK£4.19m in cash and UK£1.71m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£11.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of UK£14.2m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on SysGroup's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Given net debt is only 0.17 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that SysGroup's EBIT has low interest coverage of 2.1 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. SysGroup grew its EBIT by 8.4% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since SysGroup will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, SysGroup actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
Both SysGroup's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its net debt to EBITDA gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to cover its interest expense with its EBIT. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that SysGroup is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - SysGroup has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:SYS
SysGroup
Provides managed information technology (IT) services specializing in the delivery of cloud, data, and security services to power AI and ML transformation in the United Kingdom and internationally.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.