Stock Analysis

Cerillion (LON:CER) Could Become A Multi-Bagger

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. So when we looked at the ROCE trend of Cerillion (LON:CER) we really liked what we saw.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Cerillion, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.38 = UK£13m ÷ (UK£49m - UK£14m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, Cerillion has an ROCE of 38%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Software industry average of 9.8%.

View our latest analysis for Cerillion

roce
AIM:CER Return on Capital Employed June 3rd 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Cerillion compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Cerillion here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Cerillion

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Earnings growth over the past year is below its 5-year average.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Software market.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the British market.
Threat
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

What Can We Tell From Cerillion's ROCE Trend?

Investors would be pleased with what's happening at Cerillion. The numbers show that in the last five years, the returns generated on capital employed have grown considerably to 38%. Basically the business is earning more per dollar of capital invested and in addition to that, 114% more capital is being employed now too. So we're very much inspired by what we're seeing at Cerillion thanks to its ability to profitably reinvest capital.

In Conclusion...

A company that is growing its returns on capital and can consistently reinvest in itself is a highly sought after trait, and that's what Cerillion has. Since the stock has returned a staggering 840% to shareholders over the last five years, it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With that being said, we still think the promising fundamentals mean the company deserves some further due diligence.

On the other side of ROCE, we have to consider valuation. That's why we have a FREE intrinsic value estimation on our platform that is definitely worth checking out.

If you want to search for more stocks that have been earning high returns, check out this free list of stocks with solid balance sheets that are also earning high returns on equity.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About AIM:CER

Cerillion

Provides software for billing, charging, and customer relationship management (CRM) to the telecommunications sector in the United Kingdom, Europe, the Middle East, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific.

Flawless balance sheet and good value.

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